Reddy said:
TonyWilliams said:
My advice is to not count on many Frankenplug stations for a LONG time. My opinion is that neither GM, nor BMW will spend the money that Nissan and Tesla are spending. Public money has thus far all been spent on CHAdeMO and J1772 AC charging. There's not any momentum for yet another new standard.
As always, great summary Tony.
It's more a polemic than an analysis. As an analysis it's incomplete and misleading though, within its limited parameters, accurate.
The great flaw is confusing the physical connector with the standard. J1772 sets the AC and DC charging standards in North America. Its derivative IEC61851, which adds another pin for 3 phase but is essentially identical in all respects to J1772, sets the standards for AC and DC charging in Europe and China. While J1772/61851 sets the protocols and hardware requirements for charging as well as the safety requirements, it does not prescribe the physical configuration of the connectors. A charging system could be J1772 compliant but not be plug compatible with another J1772 compliant charging system.
The SAE DC charging connector that Tony always focuses on is simply one implementation of the J1772 standard. This connector, which he derogatorily refers to as the Frakenplug, adds two pins to what is basically the standard J1772 connector we use today. In this implementation, the two AC pins are used for DC charging up to 40 kW. The two added larger pins are used for DC charging up to 100 kW. The car auto senses which pins should be used.
Tesla adheres to the J1772/61851 standard but uses a slightly different physical layout. In its implementation of the SAE standard, the pins are placed in slightly different locations and the pins used for AC charging are much larger than the AC charging pins used in the SAE J1772 AC connector. The advantage of the larger pins is that they allow DC Level I and Level II charging over the same pins as used for AC charging. This is a more elegant implementation but has the disadvantage of not being plug compatible with the original SAE AC chargers which are in use today.
The important point here is that a simple adapter would allow vehicles using the SAE DC plug to use the Tesla superchargers with draws up to 40 kW and the Model S could use likewise use a DC charger designed for the SAE connector for up to 40 kW charging. This would work the same way as the current adapter which allows a Tesla to use SAE AC chargers. Conceivably a Model S could have an adapter that also allowed it access to the full capability of such a charger but that would be tricky since you'd have to reroute the pin connections. However, neither Tesla nor any car capable of J1772 DC charging would be able to use a Chademo charger since that is an entirely different standard.
The point here is that by treating the physical connector as if it were a standard, and ignoring the ease with which cars sharing the same standard can use different plugs, Tony's analysis underestimates the number of cars on the road that can use SAE compliant DC chargers and hence the potential market for those chargers.
If you're looking at the big picture it's clear that Chademo is very likely to be a dead end. A car manufacturer has to have a plug, hardware, and protocols that supports AC Levels I and II. Now the choice is whether to use the same plug and protocols to add DC charging for a trivial amount of money or to add a separate Chademo DC charging system that will add significant expense and impose design restrictions. That's not a difficult choice. The manufacturers of the DC chargers will just follow the path of least resistance, which is to manufacture a single charging unit that can support DC charging in NA, Europe, and China. This is why Nissan has been lobbying hard to dual standard chargers.