abasile said:
klapauzius said:
So I guess it is reasonable to expect ~ 80000-100 000 Miles from the pack?
Based on the existence of an 8 year / 100K mile warranty on the pack, that seems like a reasonable minimum to expect. I'm personally hoping for 10 years and more than 100,000 miles of use. With shallow cycling and gentle driving, some folks might be able to do much, much better than that.
Nissan has been pretty quiet on the battery front, but GM reportedly
simulated 200K miles in their lab, which was mentioned on
page 7 of this thread. The Volt is using a comparable pack chemistry and design, which means that 100K miles should be readily achievable. Additionally, please have a look at the
RAV4 EV 100k club. Since the lithium-ion battery technology the Leaf is using was designed specifically to supplant NiMH batteries, it's reasonable to expect that we will see similar performance and longevity. Another real-world report worth noting is Tom Mologhaney's
65K milestone, which he celebrated last month. Tom did not see any tangible range reduction after 27 months of ownership. His MINI's battery pack has no thermal management and is likely based on NMC Molicels manufactured in mid 2008, which is reportedly the chemistry Nissan will be moving towards in 2015.
klapauzius said:
Obviously battery degradation will be a continuous process, but it would be reasonable to expect some useful range per charge (maybe 40-50 miles) after that? Does anyone know if the self-discharge rate also goes up with time? Half the battery could still be useful if it could hold a charge and deliver consistently.
Based on the data I've seen so far, internal resistance will rise with battery age, but it should be less of an issue than it was with NiMH. This would imply, that a Leaf with an old pack would potentially have a significantly reduced range, and it might not accelerate as quickly as a new car, but it would still be eminently usable. I'm not sure how the self-discharge rate would change over time, but I don't think that it will be a problem. There will very likely be individual module failures, and once the pack is out of warranty, the owner will have to weigh the cost of module replacement or pack reconditioning against a battery upgrade. Hopefully, battery technology will continue to improve and independent shops will spring up, which should make the cost of such repairs more palatable.