WetEV said:
AndyH said:
your assumption that fossil fuel was used to make the ethanol I used. It wasn't.
Biofuel powered tractors? Biofuel fertilizer production and all that?? Impressive, if true. I doubt it.
Of course, biofuels can't replace anything close to the current liquid fuels consumption, 10% of US gasoline and diesel is estimated to require 38% of US cropland. Might be better to allow forests to regrow on former cropland.
http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/reprint/317/5840/902" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
I don't doubt your doubt, Wet, as we've been here many times before and as we are with nuclear power, I don't expect you to agree with me even if we are both looking at the same piece of cloudless mid-day sky and wondering if it's blue or pink. LOL
You keep doing this, however, and I'm calling you on it again: Your suggestion that biofuels don't work or that we cannot make enough of them to replace 100% of our needs is a big, ugly, out on the dock for three weeks nastified red herring and I think you know it. NOBODY - NOBODY! but you is putting that out as an option. I am not, the EPA is not - hell, even this country's ethanol industry is not! :lol: So that's the first problem. The second is that your cropland numbers assume...something only known to you growing some plant only known to you using some processes only known to you. I cannot access the article you linked so will have to assume a bit, as being an environmental science student and a permaculturist and student of agroforestry, silvoculture, and restoration agriculture, I have some book- and real-world experience with this. I've made and used ethanol and biodiesel from new and used oil and from yeast and sugar or yeast and potatoes through the still and into my fuel tank.
(It might seem to be a tangent here to many, but I promise it's spot-on topic.)
When I say 'ethanol' on this forum, after the spitting and sputtering has died down, people like you, Wet, say it won't work because 1. corn 2. big ag 3. government welfare 4. aliens. (Ok, I made up the part about aliens...I think...) When I said in the
'Solutions thread' that biofuels are part of the solution I meant then as I do now that the critical word is PART. Also, when I suggest biofuels are part of the solution to our fossil carbon problem, I'm not at all talking about big ag, chemical ag, diesel tractors, broad-scale agriculture, (hmmm...I think that covers all the euphemisms for the train wreck that's causing the dead zone in the Gulf of Mexico...no, not the BP oil spill, the other one...)
So, here's a real-world example. This is being done today - right now - in SW Wisconsin. No diesel, no chemicals at all, no synthetic fertilizer, no crop dusters -
none none none of what most of you will think about when someone says 'farm' or 'biofuel'. There's a GMO-free area (a no-drift zone) in SW Wisconsin where a number of farmers have established food and fuel co-ops and community-supported agriculture (CSA) operations. The ecologist/mechanical engineer/permaculturist/farmer behind part of it has planted his 110 acre farm in trees. His restoration agriculture project is replanting the oak savannah that used to fill most of the continental USA before idiots...er...people cut the trees to plant wheat. He's doing this because an oak savannah is the number 1 most productive biome on the planet and is capable of supporting the highest mass of mammals the planet's ever seen. This biome works, as does the natural world when humans stay clear of it, by continually improving the environment at room temperature without chemicals, tractors, fertilizer, or fossil fuels, or poisons or by spreading cancer to adjoining critters. His twist is that all of the trees and bushes selected produce human and animal food, fiber, and medicine.
The 3-dimensional farm starts with chestnuts (which can completely replace corn in our industrial ag system - the Cheetos are safe...), then down towards the ground are apples, then hazelnuts (or cherries/peaches/plums), then raspberries/blueberries/blackberries, the gooseberries/currants, then grapes, then fungi, then grasses. Animals graze and prune and fertilize and control pests as do various other plants in the mix. Everything is a cash crop - from the chestnuts to the grapes, to the acorn and apple finished pork. All of the crops are harvested with stock tree-crop harvesters we have today. All of the equipment runs from waste vegetable oil that's part of their 'oil cartel' that begins with hazelnuts (more oil content than corn or soy) plus human and animal feed after the nuts are pressed. The new oil is sold to local potato chip producers, and is sold back to the 'cartel' for filtering, dewatering, and use to run all of the equipment.
This, folks, is an example of permaculture which requires getting multiple uses from every step, every piece - just like nature does. It's also an example of a completely fossil-fuel free network of agribusiness that can feed us at least as well as our current system does. Peer-reviewed study of the processes and yields from this and other examples happening around the world show that during a 'perfect' year it slightly out-produces conventional ag*** - and in anything from a 'slight' drought or 'slight' flood through to extreme on either end it SIGNIFICANTLY outproduces what we've been doing all along.
edit... *** This anecdote about drought production is actually from the Rodale organic farm work they've been doing since about 1947. The comparison for Shepard's restoration farm is as follows from page 180 of his book:
In our 17 yars of experience at New Forest Farm...Adding all of the calories per acre totals together:
Plant Polyculture: 4,598,291.2
Animal Polyculture: 1,068,929.74 (cattle - beef and milk, pigs, turkeys, chickens, sometimes goats)
Honey and mushrooms: 310,499.0
Total human food calories: 5,977,719,96 per acre
The oak savanna mimic, restoration agriculture system produces more than twice the number of edible human calories per acre as an average acre of corn.
The restoration agriculture system produces more than twice the human calories per acre as an acre of corn; it is perennial and never needs to be planted again. It prevents erosion, creates soil, and can be managed with no fossil fuel inputs. This means that its total net caloric gain is almost infinitely greater than an average acre of genetically modified, #2 yellow dent corn grown in America. The nutrient difference per acre is nearly incalculable.
/edit
That's where I'm standing when I put this out as an option! In no way am I suggesting that we cut all the trees and plant more GMO soy to make biodiesel, or allow SE Asia to continue to clear old-growth forest to replace them will more palm plantations so we can fuel another 10% of cars with palm-derived biodiesel.
Long story short, Wet - if we needed to we absolutely COULD provide food and fuel from this type of ag even if we didn't sell a single BEV or FCEV - and we could do it by restoring the ground, building soil, restoring habitat, and sequestering carbon as well. Working WITH nature - as part of nature - means we have true synergy. Continuing to work the way we have been is cancer.
Same thing for the Third Industrial Revolution and H2 - yes, it's a "re-imagining" of the entire processes - three processes, or stovepipes actually - but we know it works because it's being done. I have no doubt that if enough of us demanded it, put our bodies and money and time behind it, that we could get politicians behind it - same with the utility industries. One thing we seem to have forgotten in this country is that in the long run it doesn't matter what politicians say because they still work for us - we've been the absentee landlords in the mix, not them. Tag, dammit - we're "IT"! :lol:
If anyone cares (I expect two of you will, actually), the Wisconsin farm has a web site, some youtube videos that give an overview, and an absolutely fantastic book (I say that as a geek, permaculturist, and amateur futurist
).
Mark Spepard's website - video links
http://www.forestag.com/media1.html
His book about his farm (this is an excellent environmental science/restoration agriculture/agroforestry/silvoculture/North American biome guide - it's really well done and very readable.)
http://www.amazon.com/Restoration-A...0357/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1411769725&sr=8-1
Two audio interviews in podcast form:
http://www.thepermaculturepodcast.com/2014/marks1/
http://www.thepermaculturepodcast.com/2014/marks2/
Youtube:
https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=mark+shepard+restoration
Last word: I don't care if anyone believes me or not - I think I've provided plenty of source material and have gone out of my way to try to build a bridge of understanding here. It's not going to work 100% of the time and that's ok. But I promise each of you - even you, Wet
that I'm not making this stuff up!
edit...typos; fleshed out the trees used on Shepard's farm.