RegGuheert
Well-known member
The drive electronics for the 80 kW motor, that's what! In particular, the electrolytic capacitors (if any!) used in this unit will be very hard pressed to last much more than 10 years or so, particularly in the hotter climates.electricfuture said:So what can wear out besides batteries? Shocks, struts, brakes and tires – that’s about it.
In the solar PV arena, the makers of grid-tied inverters in the 5-kW range are struggling to achieve MTBFs longer than about 10 years, even in products that have been in production for years. In fact, some of the heads of these companies have stated as much. Note that that industry HAS been successful achieving MTBFs of 100s of years with life expectancies on the order of 30 years in a VERY harsh rooftop environment for microinverters in the 200-W range by greatly derating the capacitors and using extremely advanced manufacturing and quality control approaches. While that level of manufacturing and quality comtrol certainly exists within the automotive industry, the simple fact is that IF there are large electrolytic capacitors in the drive electronics, they may not have the option to derate these components sufficiently to achieve the MTBF and life expectancy of 20 years that would be necessary to allow the failure rates to remain low much beyond 10 years.
While it is encouraging to hear that the RAV4 EV is holding up well, please note that it was not sold broadly geographically, but rather was mainly restricted to CA, which has a rather mild climate. LEAFs are already being sold into some extremely harsh climates. An active cooling system certainly helps here, but storage at high temperatures can also be problematic.
I will say, however, that I absolutely hope that I am wrong here. If anyone has details on the power electronic design of the drive electronics in the LEAF along with some studies and testing related to life, can you please point me to it. TIA!