Train said:
The problem is - Nissan isn't even selling to the environmental "crowd". That crowd is quite large (2 million Sierra club members, for eg.).
Ofcourse, it is possible the "environmental" crowd isn't all that committed when it comes to personal mobility.
But that's who's buying them. Perhaps the rest of the Sierra Club members just don't have the extra cash or income to buy an EV. Maybe their cars are paid off.
That said, if the environmental crowd was so committed to the environment, they wouldn't be buying cars in the first place.
Then again, "environmentalist" has lost a great deal of meaning these days, eh? I mean really, some here have at least two cars, some more than that and pull up to their tract homes of 2500-3000 square feet. Turn on their 55" plasma screen and get comfy on their couch choosing from 500 channels. Or maybe they take a dip in their 5000 gallon pool. I thought there was a water shortage?
Committed to he environment...LOL
As a (former) member of the Sierra Club and other environmental organizations who is still a green, albeit a pragmatic one, I feel entitled to provide a couple of in-house enviro jokes:
Definition of an environmentalist - someone who already owns a beach house.
Q: How do you find where the environmental group is meeting?
A: Look for the building closest to the parking lot with the largest collection of SUVs.
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Back on topic, it's clear that even in areas like Europe with much more favorable conditions for BEVs (higher fuel prices and pop. density, shorter daily travel/capita, a supposedly more green public etc.) than pertain in the U.S., BEVs aren't selling very well. Marketing can improve sales at the margins, but if people just don't want the product it doesn't matter how much you put into marketing. I do think the Toyota ad was good, but the first Leaf ad I saw (the every appliance gas-operated one) made much the same points. Both are cute and are supposed to get you thinking, but I doubt either will appeal to many outside of their niche.
Until battery/fuel cost ratios along with range and recharge times improve, I don't believe we'll see BEVs making more than slow progress in the private market, barring some unmistakeable, undeniable, disruptive economic or climactic event.
Re the environmental crowd, I believe many of the more serious greens have taken a different approach to lowering their impact, and find (as I do) that current BEVs don't suit their car needs. By that I mean that they've chosen to move closer in to their jobs, living in walkable/bikable high-density, mixed use, transit-oriented development on a human scale, i.e. New Urbanism. As such, many have little or no need for a car for weekday use, and those that do need one occasionally are more likely to use car-sharing where that's available. This seems to be a general trend among Gen. Y as well, to which I can only say hooray!
Fleet use of BEVs is another matter. Even with current lower fuel prices, urban delivery use of BEVs makes economic and practical sense for USPS/UPS/FedEx/DHL and the like; taxis using battery exchange may also pencil out.
For the private market, I've always believed that PHEVs would be how we eased the mainstream consumer into EVs while we wait for the necessary battery improvements, and I see nothing yet to change my opinion.