Nubo wrote:One thing that gives me pause about an early 2018 LEAF reservation/purchase is the growing feeling that the car isn't going to be well-received by the market; primarily because 200 miles range has become established in the public psyche as the new bar. I'm fine with 150 but I've got a feeling Nissan is going to be incentivizing like crazy to bridge the gap to 2019 when they can compete on specs. Even more so if the tax credit fades.
Though it would be inconvenient I might just turn in my lease in March and take a few months to see how things pan out. Interesting times.
A valid concern... BUT
we already know that Nissan has been discounting LEAFs heavily for a long time and the market suggests that that will continue especially in the face of real competition. The more discounted Bolts become, the lower the LEAF will be. I am guessing come Jan, Bolts will be right back up to their $36-42 K range all in.
Your lease ends in March, you are aware you can extend that right? or is that no longer available (I would consider that unlikely)
The other thing to consider is a better likelihood that the residual of the lease will be over market 3 years from now allowing another chance to negotiate downwards. Now, Nissan has gotten much smarter about that. My residual on my 2016 S30 is $9100 and in Nov, 2019 I am guessing that is right about where the market would be on that car (assuming I am in the 45,000 mile range...
2011 SL; 44,598 miles. 2013 S; 44,840 miles.2016 S30 deceased
. 29,413 miles. 2018 S40; 2483 miles, 490 GIDs, 38.2 Ahr available, SOH 99.30, Hx 114.37
My Blog; http://daveinolywa.blogspot.com
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