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Re: How fast can electric cars replace gas cars?

Posted: Thu Dec 09, 2021 9:27 pm
by WetEV
oxothuk wrote: Thu Dec 09, 2021 7:34 pm
WetEV wrote: Thu Dec 09, 2021 4:31 pm
oxothuk wrote: Thu Dec 09, 2021 12:46 pm
EVs will achieve mass adoption when they become truly cost-competitive with ICEs. It's that simple, and DT has nothing to do with it.
What costs do we compare? Including the health costs of air pollution or not?
Purchase cost primarily.

If you want to cover externalities then you need another mechanism like a gas tax.
Practically, you might be correct.

Cost of ownership is already favorable for EVs for many people. Not even including externalities.

Gas tax historically was to pay for roads. Much of road maintenance and construction is now funded out of the general fund.

Re: How fast can electric cars replace gas cars?

Posted: Fri Dec 10, 2021 6:40 am
by WetEV
GRA wrote: Wed Dec 08, 2021 7:56 pm Please list every inaccuracy, pro and con, in my report of my Bolt trip.
Pointless.

Take a trip to a charging station that is likely out of service, and then correctly report that, in detail.

What exactly does that prove?

Use the broad brush, all stations not on the freeway are like that.

Just who are you trying to convince?


And why?

Re: How fast can electric cars replace gas cars?

Posted: Fri Dec 10, 2021 6:47 am
by WetEV
GRA wrote: Wed Dec 08, 2021 7:48 pm
WetEV wrote: Wed Dec 08, 2021 1:42 pm
GRA wrote: Tue Dec 07, 2021 7:44 pm My experiences with the unreliability of charging match plenty of other people's experiences, as reported here, on Plugshare and in other venues.
The plural of anecdote is not data.

Do you just put your faith in whatever supernatural being you may believe in?
Do you always try to start trouble?

GRA wrote: Wed Dec 08, 2021 7:48 pmWhen I check to see if stations along a route on a trip I'm planning to take are reported working, and one or more critical ones aren't or have shown a history of unreliability, those anecdotes inform my planning.
You are using one anecdote to mislead. Part of the Fear Uncertainty and Doubt you are trying to spread.

Why?

Re: How fast can electric cars replace gas cars?

Posted: Tue Dec 14, 2021 5:22 pm
by gcrouse
I think this article is relevant.

https://themobilist.medium.com/in-a-ris ... 1ea660bf45

I think by 2026 we will see EV models in enough variety of models, price points, and range that for 51% of Americans they will be viewed as a very viable purchase, especially if battery prices continue on trend. By 2036, ICE cars are probably going to be considered a bad investment.