Durandal wrote:I've got quite a bit of money riding on Tesla doing well, and I suspect that they will deliver as many Model 3 vehicles as the Bolt has sold at the end of the year, if not more. I don't believe that GM is trying very hard.
It seems to me GM built Volt (and now Bolt) for industry observers, insiders & magazines rather than paying customers. In that sense they are halo vehicles rather than serious market efforts.
I think that Nissan is seriously stepping up their game, especially with ProPilot, etc. They're going to be limited in sales by the range if it's only a 40kWh battery, though.
Funny how times have changed. In 2011, if we had got a 40 kWh Leaf, we would have been ecstatic. Tesla was roundly criticized for offering a crippled 40 kWh model and then dropping it.
My main questions on Model 3 are speed of production (meaning will I get the tax credit in 2018?) and cost of options. I will likely choose whatever configuration will get me my Model 3 the soonest, big battery, small battery, dual motor, single motor, I don't care.
Same here - whatever comes earliest - unless tax credit is already finished.
Here is the updated article on when the tax credits are likely to phase out.
https://cleantechnica.com/2017/07/04/fe ... lear-sort/
So, it seems through Q2 of '18 we'll get tax credit. I'm optimistic that I'll get my Model 3 (west coast, reserved in line) before H2 is over.