It will be interesting to hear how OP fares with the LEAF in a hot (but not quite Phoenix hot) climate. From what he posted, about 1/2 of his annual miles are work commute related. That part of his car use should be easily covered by the LEAF for a long time. The other 15k miles or so a year are uncertain. It depends how far he drives, and whether he wants to use DCFC.
He knows that depreciation may (I'd say likely) be severe , so little reason to talk about that.
OP: Good luck !
2013 LEAF 'S' Model with QC & rear-view camera
Bought Jan 2017 from N. California
Two years in Colorado, now in NM
03/18: 58 Ahr, 28k miles
11/18: 56.16 Ahr, 30k miles
09/20: 54.3 Ahr; 38k miles
2018 Tesla Model 3 LR, Delivered 6/2018