Fortunately, the knowledge of science precludes one from coming to the nonsensical conclusions which would result from interpreting data from one-half of a cycle to be a linear trend. Instead, it is recognized to simply be a part of a cycle which repeats itself.
As I have clearly shown, the conditions in the arctic today are very close to those experienced in the first half of the 21st century. But note that after the 1950s, the trend reversed itself, just as it will do this time. How do we know this? We know it because we have studied what happens when the ice melts in the Arctic Sea
. Simply put, as the fresh water volume gets beyond a certain tipping point, it flows out into the Atlantic Ocean and covers the Gulf Stream with cold, fresh water. Note that this is different than shutting down the gulf stream. In fact it is still there and flowing, but it is the temperature of the SURFACE of the global oceans which control the temperature of our atmosphere. The cold water now flowing from the Arctic is above the warmer waters of the gulf stream. The result is colder surface temperatures in the Atlantic, as is seen in the plot I provided yesterday. This cold surface water in the far North Atlantic is the primary reason for the extreme cold which has been experienced across much of eastern Europe and most of Russia this winter. Expect more of this going forward.
Those making linear projections from very limited observational periods clearly are not aware of the science involved in our planet's climate.
The more important trend that we face is that our nearest star is in the process of going to sleep. This portends extremely cold climate in the not-so-distant future. While warming is good for civilization, cold is extremely dangerous. If we are not prepared for the cold when it comes, the death toll will be immense.